Driverless Intelligence: Business Models January 2017

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Will driverless vehicles disrupt transportation business models on an enormous scale, or will driverless technologies develop in ways that reinforce—rather than disrupt—existing business models?

Driverless Futures' Scenario Discontinuity Analysis: Business Models is available to sponsors of Driverless Futures Phase 2. To learn more about how you can become a sponsor, contact us to request a Driverless Futures Phase 2 Prospectus.

SBI's Driverless Futures uses scenario methodology to envision ways in which driverless technologies might develop and what impacts those developments could have on businesses, societies, governments, and individuals around the world. The most recent Driverless Futures report, Scenario Discontinuity Analysis: Business Models, focuses on potential business-model transformations and their implications. Specifically, what near-term developments might influence the directions in which new business models are likely to develop?

The report addresses driverless-related business models from three interrelated perspectives: technology, demand, and the business environment. We identified and addressed key uncertainties in each of these areas, including the examples below.

Technology Development

To what extent will driverless vehicles depend on special infrastructure? Who will pay for that infrastructure, and how will its financing work?
What new technologies and approaches will be necessary to allow driverless vehicles to serve users with special needs?

Demand Factors

Will driverless vehicles and services have a high-status value? Be exciting to use? Seem practical?
What in-vehicle services will users find compelling? Which services will draw which kinds of users?

Business Environment

What kinds of regulatory, competitive, and social conditions will be necessary for driverless-enabled services to succeed?
To what extent will driverless technologies truly affect employment (and vice versa)?

The Business Models report addresses these and other key uncertainties in transforming vehicle-industry business models to align with expected future realities. Given so many ways for such transformations to go wrong and so much inertia behind existing business models, little may be necessary to reinforce the status quo rather than disrupt it.

Do you have all the necessary intelligence to move into the future of autonomous driving with confidence? Contact us to request the Driverless Futures Phase 2 Prospectus today.

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About Strategic Business Insights (SBI)

SBI works with clients to identify new business opportunities and map strategies for success. Combining syndicated research with custom consulting services, SBI explores solutions to targeted problems from three important perspectives: the technology developments that will determine commercial opportunities, the forces that will define the business environment, and the shifts in consumer demand that will shape the marketplace. With our help, leading organizations identify coming changes faster, separate hype from reality, and create strategy with a greater awareness of what the future may bring.

SBI is the former Business Intelligence division of SRI International that has worked with clients on opportunities and change since 1958. Headquartered in Silicon Valley—with staff around the globe—we work internationally across a wide range of government and commercial sectors, including electronics, health care, energy, and financial services. Contact us to discover what we can do for your organization.